{"id":4576,"date":"2021-11-22T12:48:49","date_gmt":"2021-11-22T12:48:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/staging3.zealousys.com\/goatrisk\/?p=4576"},"modified":"2021-11-24T09:36:38","modified_gmt":"2021-11-24T09:36:38","slug":"risk-identification-and-risk-evaluation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/staging3.zealousys.com\/goatrisk\/risk-identification-and-risk-evaluation\/","title":{"rendered":"Risk identification and risk evaluation &#8211; a fresh perspective"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3><span style=\"color: #354052;\"><strong>Know what you know. And also what you don\u2019t&#8230;<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The US Secretary of Defence at the time of the Iraq War post 9\/11, Donald Rumsfeld, famously fumbled through the concept of known knowns, and known unknowns. Without getting into the detail of the model within which these concepts live, <\/span>business leaders must recognise that, regardless of experience, the biggest mistake anyone can make is complacency. Particularly when it comes to business and risk. <strong>Proactive risk identification and risk evaluation is, without question,\u00a0critical\u00a0for success<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. \u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The world is in a constant state of change. Every year, a slew of businesses are lost, many with long distinct histories of success and market power. New disrupters with fresh ideas, mindsets, technology and innovation, make the shiny and new more appealing to a vibrant generation who are increasingly making the decisions. Indeed, \u2018the establishment\u2019 is looking and feeling distinctly dated.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So the question is: \u201c<\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">How can we know what\u2019s coming to bite us next, and where should we focus<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">?\u201d\u00a0 In the first of this mini blog series <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/staging3.zealousys.com\/goatrisk\/why-risk-management-is-important-for-your-business\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2018Why risk management is important for your business\u2019<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, we spoke about the number one risk an organisation faces: Whether its business is still relevant and sustainable.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Let\u2019s say you\u2019re fortunate enough to be in an expanding market and your business is growing share. Then congratulations, the chances are your business is relevant. But clearly you\u2019re not out of the woods (there are examples abound of IPO flops, founders shamed, shareholder revolt etc.).\u00a0 So how do you think through what risks you face?<\/span><b> How do you get to know some of these unknowns?<\/b><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #354052;\"><strong>Start with what you know\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As an expert in your own business, the starting point is to look at what you do know. What are the key risks that could stop you from delivering on your objectives, or being successful? Some businesses may not have defined or even agreed objectives, but even those will know the bigger mission, vision or \u2018reason for being\u2019.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Try to think beyond yourself and solicit inputs from others within the team and wider business, including diverse perspectives from different disciplines and departments. You\u2019ll find this approach will yield surprisingly comprehensive results.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span style=\"color: #354052;\">Fresh perspectives &#8211; a simple model to gain a holistic view<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Risks can come from anywhere, so it\u2019s critical to think broadly and holistically. One of the most simple but useful models is the \u2018STO\u2019 (Strategic, Tactical and Operational) framework which helps ensure thinking from these different perspectives. CEOs and Boards are often focused on strategic risks, but forget that day to day operational risks can derail a whole company too.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Similarly, those in operations might not think about some bigger strategic issues, such as risks to the business model itself.\u00a0 Finally, those with financial backgrounds might struggle to see past these and other tactical risks.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This simple model can help shape your thinking through these different lenses and perspectives to gain a more holistic picture.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-2844 size-full\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/identification-why.png\" alt=\"Strategic, tactical, operational risk model\" width=\"633\" height=\"442\" srcset=\"https:\/\/staging3.zealousys.com\/goatrisk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/identification-why.png 633w, https:\/\/staging3.zealousys.com\/goatrisk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/identification-why-300x209.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 633px) 100vw, 633px\" \/><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #354052;\"><strong>A risk universe for the unknowns<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Conceptually, the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/staging3.zealousys.com\/goatrisk\/risk-identification-and-risk-universe-on-a-page\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2018risk universe\u2019<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> represents all the risks your business could possibly face. This is a big statement in the context of unknown-unknowns. It\u2019s not a crystal ball, and no model can possibly see the future, but it works by setting out categories of risks, to prompt thinking in the same way the STO model above does.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Let\u2019s say you&#8217;re a hotel company. You might have initially missed the significant threat of \u2018sharing economy\u2019 disrupters entering the market such as Airbnb. Had you been prompted to think about business model or technology change, you might have been more likely to make the connection.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Similarly, Brexit or Covid weren&#8217;t specifically set out in any risk universe. But you might see broader terms like macro-economics, geo-politics, health &amp; safety or pandemics facilitating the risk identification and evaluation process.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There are some very comprehensive risk universe models,. We have synthesised and reconciled these into a shorter (and we believe more useful) set of 26 risks. We\u2019ve built these into <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/staging3.zealousys.com\/goatrisk\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">GOAT Risk<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> &#8211; an easy to use, low cost, risk management software platform. Depending on the type of organisation you have, the system even proposes risks it thinks are relevant to your business.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Whilst this is a useful shortcut to risk assessment, there&#8217;s still the need to think about categories, and describe risks and their impacts in much greater detail. Only then, will they be viewed as a meaningful and action orientated problem set.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-4581\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/know-what.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"602\" height=\"370\" srcset=\"https:\/\/staging3.zealousys.com\/goatrisk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/know-what.jpg 602w, https:\/\/staging3.zealousys.com\/goatrisk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/know-what-300x184.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 602px) 100vw, 602px\" \/><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #354052;\"><strong>Know what you know and also what you don\u2019t. Then do something about it.<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If knowing your risks is step one, not doing anything about them is the same as not knowing at all.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This is the 2<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">nd<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> of a 4 part series helping you to think broadly about the risks you face. If your plate is already full, then giving you more things to worry about is the last thing you need.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Recognising this, our next post is specifically for business leaders who are juggling many balls, and lack time and resources. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/staging3.zealousys.com\/goatrisk\/risk-management-blogs\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Subscribe to our Blog<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> today to never miss an update.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>About the author<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Danny Wong is the Founder and CEO of<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/staging3.zealousys.com\/goatrisk\/\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">GOAT Risk Solutions<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> He is a thought leader in risk maturity, having engaged with hundreds of leaders and professionals in extensive market research. He has first-hand experience of supporting major corporates in a +20 year career specialising in<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/e\/enterprise-risk-management.asp\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Enterprise Risk Management<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Danny saw a market opportunity for a simple, low-cost risk software solution to help organisations improve risk management capability, and launched GOAT in 2018. <\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Know what you know. And also what you don\u2019t&#8230; The US Secretary of Defence at the time of the Iraq War post 9\/11, Donald Rumsfeld, famously fumbled through the concept&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4576","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v16.8 (Yoast SEO v16.9) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Risk identification and risk evaluation - a fresh perspective | GOAT Risk\u2122 | Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Risk identification and risk evaluation. Know what you know, and also what you don\u2019t. 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